Harris Leads Trump in Debate According to Polymarket Betting

Despite her strong performance, the debate did not address cryptocurrency or technology issues, focusing primarily on general economic topics.

The betting trends on Polymarket suggest that Harris performed better during the debate, with her odds of winning the election slightly improving throughout the event.

Polymarket Betting Favors Harris in Debate Win

However, both candidates remain effectively tied in the betting markets concerning who will win the upcoming election. Harris’s campaign has already called for a third debate, which would be the second face-off between Harris and Trump.

Source: X

Interestingly, the second debate of the 2024 election cycle once again bypassed discussions on crypto, technology, or finance, except for a brief mention of economic topics. This marks a continuing trend where cryptocurrency has been largely absent from presidential debate discussions, reflecting a broader focus on other issues.

In a notable betting outcome, a Polymarket user with the handle “trumpisreal” won over $10,000 in the stablecoin USDC by correctly predicting that Trump would mention “Springfield” and “Cat,” referencing unfounded claims about Haitian migrants in Springfield, Ohio.

Source: X

Conversely, bettors on Harris’ side saw early gains when the Democratic candidate brought up “Project 2025” and “Artificial Intelligence” at the start of the debate. Confidence in Harris’ performance is high, with bettors estimating a 98% chance that polls will favor her as the debate winner. There is also a 62% probability that Harris will be the leading candidate in Polymarket’s election contract the day after the debate.

Disclaimer

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