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HomeCrypto NewsKey Metrics to Monitor for Detecting Crypto Trend Reversals
Crypto News

Key Metrics to Monitor for Detecting Crypto Trend Reversals

Being able to detect crypto trend reversals gives you a better idea about market sentiment. We highlight 5 important indicators for you.

CCamille Lemmens•Aug 13, 2024
Key Metrics to Monitor for Detecting Crypto Trend Reversals

The current crypt market is choppy. The price action’s like a rollercoaster with constant ups and downs. Are we still in a bull market? An old slogan says to ‘zoom out when in doubt’. However, other vital metrics can help you. It’s important to be aware of when crypto trend reversals take place.

So, we have found some metrics that can help you identify these crypto trend reversals.

The Bitcoin Difficulty Ribbon

The Bitcoin Difficulty Ribbon is a metric that shows the difficulty of Bitcoin mining. It uses simple moving averages to determine this difficulty. For example, the 200-, 128-, 90-, 60-, 40-, 25-, or 14-day moving average. Willy Woo came up with this indicator. It dates back to 2019.

The idea behind this ribbon is that it can tell you when it’s the best time to buy $BTC. The best time to buy $BTC is when the ribbon compresses or flips negatively. This article by Willy Woo gives you a deeper understanding of how this indicator works. See the chart below.

Crypto trend reversalsSource: Glassnode

The MVRV Ratio

The MVRV ratio stands for the Market Value to Realized Value Ratio. In other words, it compares the market cap (market value) to its realized value. It indicates if a crypto token is under or overvalued.

With this indicator, overvaluation is in the red zone. On the other hand, the green zone indicates undervaluation. So, the orange line going in the red zone, means $BTC is currently too expensive. However, once this orange line hits the green zone, it’s time to buy $BTC, according to this indicator. For more information, check this article by one of its creators.

Crypto trend reversals

Source: X

Percent Supply in Profit

The percent supply in profit is what it says. It measures the percentage of the circulating supply that is in profit. In other words, the last price change of the coin you follow was below the current price.

This measurement dates back to November 2019. Glassnode introduced it. If values read 95% or higher, it indicates the top. Values below 5% mean that the bottom is there. The current $BTC supply in profit is around 80%. During a market rally, this percentage will go up. However, during a correction, this percentage should go down. See the chart below.

Crypto trend reversals

Source: New Hedge

Bitcoin Spot ETF Flow Chart

The Bitcoin spot ETF flow chart keeps track of the in and outflows of $BTC spot ETFs. It estimates the daily net flow of funds within the top ten US-traded Bitcoin ETFs. Currently, the SEC approved 11 $BTC spot ETF funds. They started trading on 11th January 2024.

There’s also an Ethereum spot ETF flow chart. It works in the same way but for Ethereum spot ETFs. These started trading on 23rd July 2024. The SEC approved 8 $ETH spot ETFs. Rumors are that the next spot ETF in line could be Solana. See our video about this.

Crypto trend reversals

Source: The Block

Number of Addresses Holding 1K $BTC or More

A chart showing the number of addresses holding 1K $BTC or more shows Bitcoin whales. These are all unique addresses. This chart shows when whales are selling or when they are accumulating. 

Their buying and selling behavior can influence the market. In general, prices go up when they buy $BTC. On the other hand, when they sell $BTC, the $BTC price may drop. So, being on top of crypto whales can help you understand crypto trend reversals. The chart below shows the whales with more than 1k $BTC and the $BTC price.

Source: CoinAnk

Conclusion

We showed five indicators that can help you with spotting crypto price reversals. They aim at mid- and long-term investments. These indicators give a realistic idea of market movements.

Disclaimer

The information discussed by Altcoin Buzz is not financial advice. This is for educational, entertainment and informational purposes only. Any information or strategies are thoughts and opinions relevant to accepted levels of risk tolerance of the writer/reviewers, and their risk tolerance may be different from yours.

We are not responsible for any losses that you may incur as a result of any investments directly or indirectly related to the information provided. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are high-risk investments, so please do your due diligence.

Copyright Altcoin Buzz Pte Ltd.

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