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Why Did Zcash Fall Below $1,000 for the First Time Since September?

Zcash fell below $1,000 for the first time since September, down 14.5% in 24 hours after a hot October CPI print, with $40.96 million in longs liquidated.

By Shashwat GuptaFounder

3 min read
A plain coin with the Zcash mark sits half sunk beneath the surface of still dark water, ripple rings spreading around it.

Zcash fell below $1,000 on Wednesday for the first time since early September, under pressure from a hotter-than-expected US inflation reading and from leveraged buyers being pushed out of the privacy coin. ZEC traded at $983.58 at 12:50 UTC, down about 14.5% in 24 hours, according to CoinGecko, which put the day's range at $962.85 to $1,196.04.

  • Zcash dropped under $1,000 on Wednesday 11 November, the first time below that level since early September, down roughly 14% to 15% in a day.
  • The price was $983.58 at 12:50 UTC, with a 24-hour low of $962.85 and a high of $1,196.04.
  • October producer prices land on Friday 13 November at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, the next scheduled macro number.

Zcash Fell Farther Than Any Top-25 Coin

The drop belonged to Zcash, not the market. No other coin among the 25 largest by market value lost more over those 24 hours; Uniswap came next, down 8.4%. Bitcoin slipped 1.4% to about $73,500 and Ether fell 2.9% over the same window.

The seven-day picture is starker. Zcash is down 23% on the week, CoinGecko's Zcash page shows. Its weekly range runs from the same $962.85 low to $1,382.38. That page puts Zcash 11th by market value and its 24-hour trading volume just under $1.28 billion.

A Hot October CPI Print Started the Slide

The macro trigger is in the release itself. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics said the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose 0.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis in October, after 0.6% in September, in its monthly report. Economists had expected 0.3%, so the print landed above forecast.

The selling was Zcash's own. ZEC fell 14.2% against bitcoin over 24 hours, almost the same as its 14.5% loss against the dollar, which implies bitcoin itself barely moved.

Sentiment followed the price. The Fear and Greed Index from alternative.me stood at 29, which signals fear.

Leverage Turned the Slide Into Liquidations

Leverage turned the slide into liquidations. Zcash perpetual futures, contracts with no expiry, left traders exposed to a fast move, and CoinGlass data showed about $40.96 million of ZEC positions closed out in 24 hours, of which long positions made up $35.66 million, or 87.1%, and shorts $5.29 million.

The upgrade five days earlier is a separate event, but it explains some of the attention. NU7 went live on Friday 6 November, cutting the target time between two blocks from 75 seconds to 25 to speed up confirmations, and ZEC traded above $1,370 as recently as that day. One detail that travelled with the upgrade, that about 12,224 ZEC in the network's original privacy pool became unspendable, has not been confirmed elsewhere.

Grayscale's $1 Million Meets ETF Outflows

Grayscale is spending on the story. In a release dated 10 November, the firm said it is committing $1 million to nonprofit organizations and initiatives supporting the Zcash ecosystem, and has already awarded the first $400,000 as four equal $100,000 grants to the Zcash Foundation, Pretty Good Policy for Zcash, Shielded Labs and Project Tachyon.

It also plans to send 100% of sponsor fees from its Zcash ETF toward development, marketing and education for up to the fund's first year. That fund, ZCSH, trades on NYSE Arca and charges a 2.5% annual sponsor fee. Alongside the money, Grayscale launched Zcash Invest, an educational platform, and a national campaign called "Zcash: The Next Era of Crypto", which wrapped the Wall Street Journal's front page in a zebra-striped cover on Tuesday and ran a full-page ad inside.

The fund's flows ran the other way. ZCSH recorded net outflows of $46.25 million in October, with more than $15 million more in November through Monday. At the current price, October's redemptions are worth about 47,000 ZEC, which is one way to size them. The fund's shares fell around 12% to $27.25 on Tuesday.

Friday's Producer Prices Are the Next Test

Zcash trades below its all-time high of $3,191.93, and the leverage that amplified this week's fall is still in the market. The next scheduled number is the BLS Producer Price Index for October, due on Friday 13 November at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. A cooler print would ease the rate pressure that started the slide; another upside surprise would test the same crowded positioning again.

Written by

Shashwat Gupta

Founder

Shashwat Gupta is an entrepreneur, CEO and co-founder of the online media portal, Altcoin Buzz. Shash has been a crypto enthusiast since 2015 and entered the emerging cryptocurrency space full time in early 2017. His business expertise and extensive knowledge in the crypto space have helped shape Altcoin Buzz to be what it is today.

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